On October 13, 2026, IRCC issued 752 Invitations to Apply (ITAs) to provincial nominees at a minimum CRS of 772. That is 47 points above the September 28 cutoff (725) and the highest PNP score since August 4 (768), even though the round was slightly bigger than the last one.
What happened
IRCC invited 752 candidates holding a provincial nomination. Profiles needed a CRS of 772 or higher and had to be created before 1:57:33 p.m. UTC on July 15, 2026 to be included. This was round #448 and the 60th Express Entry draw of 2026, bringing the year's total to 135,967 ITAs.
It was also the 20th PNP draw of the year. IRCC has now invited 10,022 provincial nominees in 2026.
Two days later, on October 15, IRCC ran a Canadian Experience Class round; see our October 15 analysis. The October 16 French-language round is covered here.
Why the cutoff jumped
A provincial nomination adds a flat 600 points to your CRS score, so a 772 cutoff means the lowest-ranked nominee invited had about 172 points of their own. Draw size cannot explain the move: 752 ITAs versus 733 last time should, on its own, have pushed the cutoff slightly down.
The more likely driver is the mix of nominees in the pool. The tie-break date of July 15 is nearly three months old, which tells us IRCC reached a thin band of nominees at exactly 772 whose profiles were created before that date. IRCC has not published pool data for this round, so treat this as a reading of the pattern rather than a confirmed cause.
Context: recent PNP draws
| Date | ITAs issued | CRS cutoff |
|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | 955 | 730 |
| July 6, 2026 | 534 | 708 |
| July 20, 2026 | 511 | 744 |
| August 4, 2026 | 507 | 768 |
| August 17, 2026 | 442 | 760 |
| August 31, 2026 | 562 | 697 |
| September 14, 2026 | 576 | 734 |
| September 28, 2026 | 733 | 725 |
| October 13, 2026 | 752 | 772 |
PNP cutoffs have bounced between 697 and 772 since June. The rounds have also been getting bigger: 752 is the largest since June 22. The cadence has held at roughly two weeks, which points to another PNP round around late October, most likely in the 720s to 770s. That is a pattern-based estimate, not an IRCC commitment.